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Politics

Government shutdown before October 2026

2 platforms $1.5M volume Closes in 96 days

Prices last updated

Using reference prices • Live data unavailable

Watch: Yes prices diverge by 3.0 points

Cheapest to back at Kalshi ( 31.0%) vs Polymarket ( 34.0%). Fees, liquidity, and access differ — verify before acting.

Consensus probability

Yes 32.5%
No 68.5%

Mean of tradeable platform prices. Cheapest price to back each side is highlighted in the table.

Yes price history 33.0% +11.0 pts
Apr 11, 2026 Jun 13, 2026

Price comparison

Platform Yes No Trade
Polymarket 34¢ 67¢
Kalshi 31¢ 70¢

highlights the cheapest price to back each side. Prices in cents = implied probability. Demo data.

Read our platform reviews: Polymarket · Kalshi

Market FAQ

Where can I get the best price on "Yes"?
The cheapest tradeable price on Yes is 31¢ at Kalshi. A lower price means a bigger payout if it resolves Yes.
What does the contract price mean?
A prediction-market contract pays out $1 if the outcome happens, so its price (e.g. 60¢) is the market-implied probability — here, a 60% chance.
Why do platforms show different prices?
Each venue has its own order book, fees, and trader base, so prices drift apart. That spread is the opportunity OddsGrab surfaces — back the side wherever it is cheapest.