NBA champion 2026-27
De-vigged title futures next to prediction-market prices for the leading contenders.
Prices last updated
Edge alert: Field prices diverge by 5.3 points
Cheapest to back at Polymarket ( 45.0%) vs BetMGM ( 50.3%). Fees, liquidity, and access differ — verify before acting.
Implied probability comparison
Sportsbook futures shown as de-vigged (fair) probabilities.
| Outcome | Sportsbooks | Prediction markets | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | BetMGM | Polymarket | Kalshi | |
| Celtics | 19.0% +450 | 17.9% +475 | 22.0% 22¢ | 20.0% 20¢ |
| Nuggets | 16.1% +550 | 16.5% +525 | 18.0% 18¢ | 19.0% 19¢ |
| Thunder | 15.0% +600 | 15.3% +575 | 17.0% 17¢ | 18.0% 18¢ |
| Field | 49.9% +110 | 50.3% +105 | 45.0% 45¢ | 45.0% 45¢ |
● cheapest to back · ● richest price. Demo data — verify live before acting.
Flagged outcomes
How to read this
Sportsbook futures carry a built-in margin (vig), so their raw implied probabilities sum to well over 100%. We remove the vig per book before comparing, so the numbers above are fair probabilities you can line up directly against prediction-market prices. A wide gap can signal an edge — but fees, liquidity, and access differ across venues, so treat it as a lead to investigate, not a sure thing.